voters / rap sheet
0xce4b0b3e058a0daf340d6f237b38d8a5bd4ea9da
uma dvm voter · ethereum mainnet etherscan →
votes revealed
130
graded
76
matched outcome
54
rate
71.1%
total weight
11k

voting history

correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth
resolvedmarketvoted outcomeweightvs outcome
2026-03-06US strikes Iraq by February 28?NOYES4✗ against
2026-03-02Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 1?NOYES4✗ against
2026-03-02ZachXBT investigation post over 30M views on day one?-NOYES4✗ against
2026-03-02Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.5YESYES4✓ with
2026-03-02Kraken vs. Blues: O/U 4.5YESearly?4ungraded
2026-03-02Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?YESearly?4ungraded
2026-01-11Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?TOO EARLYYES6✗ early
2026-01-11Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?TOO EARLYYES6✗ early
2026-01-11Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?TOO EARLYYES6✗ early
2026-01-11Sasnovich vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5YESNO6✗ against
2026-01-11Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?NOYES6✗ against
2026-01-11Solana Up or Down - January 7, 11AM ETYESYES6✓ with
2026-01-11ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21NOYES6✗ against
2026-01-11Will Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential electioNOearly?6ungraded
2026-01-11Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?YESearly?6ungraded
2026-01-11Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?NOearly?6ungraded
2026-01-11Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?NOearly?6ungraded
2026-01-11Kraus vs. Jones: Total Sets O/U 2.5YESearly?6ungraded
2025-12-10Will Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?NOYES8✗ against
2025-12-06Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?TOO EARLYYES100✗ early
2025-12-06ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES100✓ with
2025-12-06ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES100✓ with
2025-12-06Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?YESNO100✗ against
2025-12-06Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?YESNO100✗ against
2025-12-06Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?NONO100✓ with
2025-12-06Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5NONO100✓ with
2025-12-06Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?NOYES100✗ against
2025-12-06UMIP-191 ASSERT_TRUTH2 new identifierYESYES100✓ with
2025-12-06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 2?YESYES100✓ with
2025-12-06Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?YESYES100✓ with
2025-12-06Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?YESYES100✓ with
2025-12-06Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 2?YESearly?100ungraded
2025-12-06Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-12-02Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?NOearly?102ungraded
2025-11-30Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?NONO102✓ with
2025-11-30Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?NONO102✓ with
2025-11-30Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?NONO102✓ with
2025-11-30Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?NOearly?102ungraded
2025-11-30Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-27?YESearly?102ungraded
2025-11-28Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?NONO102✓ with
2025-11-28Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?NONO102✓ with
2025-11-28ooRequester:c186fa914353c44b2e33ebe05f21YESYES102✓ with
2025-11-28Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9AM ETYESYES102✓ with
2025-11-28Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-28Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?NOearly?102ungraded
2025-11-28Will Alchemised (SenLinYu) win Readers’ Favorite Audiobook in the 2025 Goodreads Choice TOO EARLYearly?102ungraded
2025-11-28Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 236.5NOearly?102ungraded
2025-11-28Will My Friends (Fredrik Backman) win Readers’ Favorite Audiobook in the 2025 Goodreads TOO EARLYearly?102ungraded
2025-11-26Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?NONO103✓ with
2025-11-26Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-23?YESYES103✓ with
2025-11-26Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?TOO EARLYearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?YESearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?NOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-26Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas GrandNOearly?103ungraded
2025-11-24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?TOO EARLYNO103✗ early
2025-11-24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2025?TOO EARLYNO103✗ early
2025-11-24Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?YESYES103✓ with
2025-11-24Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)TOO EARLY50/50103✗ early
2025-11-24Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)TOO EARLY50/50103✗ early
2025-11-24Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?YESYES103✓ with
2025-11-24Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?YESYES103✓ with
2025-11-24Will Country 6 win Miss Universe 2025?NONO103✓ with
2025-11-24Will Country 1 win Miss Universe 2025?NONO103✓ with
2025-11-22Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?TOO EARLYYES104✗ early
2025-11-22Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?TOO EARLYYES104✗ early
2025-11-22Will at least 95 senators vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill?YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22FIDE World Cup 2025 Quarterfinals - Yi vs Erigaisi (Advances)YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 7 Henri Matisse’s “Figure décorative” sell for 15m or more?NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 13 Ernst Ludwig Kirchner’s “Fränzi mit Pfeilbogen” sell for 3m or more?NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Lot 3 Pablo Picasso’s “Trois personnages” sell for 700k or more?YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3)YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Longwood Lancers (W)NONO104✓ with
2025-11-22Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-22Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs K27 (BO3)YESearly?104ungraded
2025-11-22Games Total: O/U 2.5NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-22Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?TOO EARLYearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-20Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?YESYES104✓ with
2025-11-20Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 17?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 17?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20Lee Jong-seop in jail by November 15?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 17?NOearly?104ungraded
2025-11-18Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3PM ETNOYES104✗ against
2025-11-18Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.5 on November 14 2025?NOYES104✗ against
2025-11-16Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?NONO99✓ with
2025-11-16Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?NONO99✓ with
2025-11-16Will the government shutdown end November 12?NONO99✓ with
2025-11-16Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 11?YESearly?99ungraded
2025-11-16Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11?NOearly?99ungraded
2025-11-14Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-14Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-14Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-14Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-14Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-12Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?YESYES100✓ with
2025-11-12Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?NONO100✓ with
2025-11-12Will FC Nantes win on 2025-11-08?NONO100✓ with
2025-11-12Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerYESYES100✓ with
2025-11-12Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-12Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-12Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-12Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1NOearly?100ungraded
2025-11-12Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?100ungraded
2025-11-12Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?TOO EARLYearly?100ungraded
2025-11-10Will Trump say "Eight wars" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?YESYES100✓ with
2025-11-10Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?NONO100✓ with
2025-11-10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?YESYES100✓ with
2025-11-08WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Elena Rybakina vs Madison Keys50/5050/50100✓ with
2025-11-06Will Yusei Kikuchi be named the 2025 World Series MVP?NONO99✓ with
2025-11-06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 2?YESYES99✓ with
2025-11-06Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?YESearly?99ungraded
2025-11-06Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 2?NOearly?99ungraded
2025-11-06Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-15?TOO EARLYearly?99ungraded
2025-11-06Will SC Recife vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?TOO EARLYearly?99ungraded
2025-11-06Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-15?TOO EARLYearly?99ungraded
2025-11-06Will Forever Young win the 2025 Breeders’ Cup Classic?YESearly?99ungraded