Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,700 on September 16?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved early? 2025-09-19

voters

300

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

12.4%

total weight

19.9M

chain record #303

be2add985c92e2dac70aad56a46b167b5a26e1c9ee91b8ef0e2584bb7cfbac75

previous record

75d272745f712c0d896f9867e034e715c5469542bfd1540ad53d6a6cb01ac050

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1758024062:b7760670d2efb850

the judges

300 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	TOO EARLY	2.5M	12.4%	ungraded
2	0x8e34..c97a	TOO EARLY	2.1M	10.6%	ungraded
3	0xc60a..fea0	TOO EARLY	2.1M	10.6%	ungraded
4	0xd2a7..9f7f	TOO EARLY	1.4M	7.1%	ungraded
5	0x95cd..29b8	TOO EARLY	965k	4.8%	ungraded
6	0x05d1..f8c4	TOO EARLY	905k	4.5%	ungraded
7	0x996d..aff1	TOO EARLY	887k	4.5%	ungraded
8	0x0afc..0b38	TOO EARLY	680k	3.4%	ungraded
9	0x487a..2538	TOO EARLY	631k	3.2%	ungraded
10	0x6564..340c	TOO EARLY	421k	2.1%	ungraded
11	0xdb28..b80a	TOO EARLY	384k	1.9%	ungraded
12	0x8548..e67e	TOO EARLY	379k	1.9%	ungraded
13	0xbd9e..baa7	TOO EARLY	375k	1.9%	ungraded
14	0x326c..4205	TOO EARLY	370k	1.9%	ungraded
15	0x66ca..225a	TOO EARLY	339k	1.7%	ungraded
16	0x4863..e44f	TOO EARLY	268k	1.3%	ungraded
17	0x20ec..56c0	TOO EARLY	262k	1.3%	ungraded
18	0xb731..5790	TOO EARLY	250k	1.3%	ungraded
19	0xf659..d48b	TOO EARLY	245k	1.2%	ungraded
20	0x840b..946f	TOO EARLY	241k	1.2%	ungraded
21	0x2bc1..a7e7	TOO EARLY	230k	1.2%	ungraded
22	0xfe93..9c9d	TOO EARLY	224k	1.1%	ungraded
23	0xf002..bfb2	TOO EARLY	206k	1.0%	ungraded
24	0x6573..8efe	TOO EARLY	198k	1.0%	ungraded
25	0x9928..8cee	TOO EARLY	185k	0.9%	ungraded
26	0x9e30..0d35	TOO EARLY	184k	0.9%	ungraded
27	0x3504..ec2b	TOO EARLY	178k	0.9%	ungraded
28	0x2d51..6f52	TOO EARLY	174k	0.9%	ungraded
29	0x89be..103a	TOO EARLY	151k	0.8%	ungraded
30	0x92d7..6fc6	TOO EARLY	151k	0.8%	ungraded
31	0x1a0d..f351	TOO EARLY	143k	0.7%	ungraded
32	0x30b2..be50	TOO EARLY	129k	0.6%	ungraded
33	0xdf67..2de3	TOO EARLY	128k	0.6%	ungraded
34	0x003a..0577	TOO EARLY	125k	0.6%	ungraded
35	0xf018..4069	TOO EARLY	116k	0.6%	ungraded
36	0x5b7e..78a8	TOO EARLY	107k	0.5%	ungraded
37	0x8b64..96ee	TOO EARLY	101k	0.5%	ungraded
38	0x8d61..27bc	TOO EARLY	91k	0.5%	ungraded
39	0x53d0..d897	TOO EARLY	86k	0.4%	ungraded
40	0x7baa..946a	TOO EARLY	79k	0.4%	ungraded
41	0x5c2e..d55e	TOO EARLY	73k	0.4%	ungraded
42	0xa0ff..3d3d	TOO EARLY	70k	0.4%	ungraded
43	0xd278..5a26	TOO EARLY	69k	0.3%	ungraded
44	0xc9e8..8df5	TOO EARLY	68k	0.3%	ungraded
45	0x1515..490a	TOO EARLY	59k	0.3%	ungraded
46	0xa9b0..c344	TOO EARLY	58k	0.3%	ungraded
47	0xb738..9472	TOO EARLY	50k	0.3%	ungraded
48	0x9b8f..ed2f	TOO EARLY	45k	0.2%	ungraded
49	0xa4ef..a5ea	TOO EARLY	37k	0.2%	ungraded
50	0xa61b..88a5	TOO EARLY	34k	0.2%	ungraded
51	0xa7b9..87d0	TOO EARLY	32k	0.2%	ungraded
52	0x126d..c78e	TOO EARLY	30k	0.2%	ungraded
53	0x3d59..baa2	TOO EARLY	29k	0.1%	ungraded
54	0x060b..81fa	TOO EARLY	28k	0.1%	ungraded
55	0x7b51..f56b	TOO EARLY	27k	0.1%	ungraded
56	0xa2e5..27f4	TOO EARLY	26k	0.1%	ungraded
57	0x47a4..368b	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
58	0xa119..d55d	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
59	0x69d0..586c	TOO EARLY	25k	0.1%	ungraded
60	0x4c0d..ff1d	TOO EARLY	19k	0.1%	ungraded
61	0x6e86..2587	TOO EARLY	18k	0.1%	ungraded
62	0x3939..e4ce	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
63	0x336b..d88f	TOO EARLY	15k	0.1%	ungraded
64	0x2a6d..7e59	TOO EARLY	14k	0.1%	ungraded
65	0xe748..9a11	TOO EARLY	13k	0.1%	ungraded
66	0x4f49..8da9	TOO EARLY	13k	0.1%	ungraded
67	0x9b6f..4ced	TOO EARLY	12k	0.1%	ungraded
68	0x9497..f769	TOO EARLY	11k	0.1%	ungraded
69	0x122b..8aee	TOO EARLY	11k	0.1%	ungraded
70	0x4ddd..0cb2	TOO EARLY	10k	0.1%	ungraded
71	0xe637..9483	TOO EARLY	10k	0.0%	ungraded
72	0x110f..f6fd	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
73	0x465c..d022	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
74	0x23bb..183b	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
75	0xea1e..4f9a	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
76	0xdb4d..bb4d	TOO EARLY	9k	0.0%	ungraded
77	0xc5af..a671	TOO EARLY	8k	0.0%	ungraded
78	0xd7e6..8b53	TOO EARLY	8k	0.0%	ungraded
79	0x1ab8..64f4	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
80	0x1a46..cbc4	TOO EARLY	7k	0.0%	ungraded
81	0xcb8c..9937	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
82	0x5a01..e9e0	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
83	0x09ea..73fd	TOO EARLY	6k	0.0%	ungraded
84	0xa31c..6020	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
85	0x5d54..cc4b	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
86	0x9baf..0a44	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
87	0xb483..28ab	TOO EARLY	5k	0.0%	ungraded
88	0x7e36..0c22	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
89	0xc4eb..9946	TOO EARLY	4k	0.0%	ungraded
90	0x1cc9..397e	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
91	0xf445..376e	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
92	0x55e0..c952	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
93	0x6280..57bb	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
94	0xdf50..ffda	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
95	0x2a82..c9d8	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
96	0x519e..fb3b	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
97	0xa2cf..d7aa	TOO EARLY	3k	0.0%	ungraded
98	0x9860..1316	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
99	0x558c..4808	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
100	0xea8d..558a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
101	0xde0a..75f5	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
102	0x18fe..3f3b	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
103	0x1c80..d09a	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
104	0x449f..d1c7	TOO EARLY	2k	0.0%	ungraded
105	0x08bb..2be1	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
106	0xf8e9..6fe8	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
107	0x99bc..2fd9	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
108	0x48c7..0f91	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
109	0xa851..7438	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
110	0xbb1f..fba5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
111	0xe3b0..1d12	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
112	0x2fbb..aefd	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
113	0x5870..b44c	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
114	0x49b3..bd78	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
115	0xdae5..746b	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
116	0x4846..e93c	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
117	0xd043..007e	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
118	0xf8c9..46cb	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
119	0x3800..e5fc	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
120	0xc56d..bb33	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
121	0x9b5d..877f	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
122	0x929c..f881	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
123	0x27b0..14d2	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
124	0xa65e..c3c6	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
125	0x00b6..22c7	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
126	0x4a19..c839	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
127	0x44c6..4df5	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
128	0xa363..0278	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
129	0x1306..bc55	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
130	0xa7a5..9c28	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
131	0x574c..86d7	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
132	0xe86a..8132	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
133	0x467c..f6b9	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
134	0x62a1..8f01	TOO EARLY	1k	0.0%	ungraded
135	0x9a47..4246	TOO EARLY	989	0.0%	ungraded
136	0xf882..c333	TOO EARLY	964	0.0%	ungraded
137	0xd32e..bd3f	TOO EARLY	883	0.0%	ungraded
138	0x9c1f..0c09	TOO EARLY	880	0.0%	ungraded
139	0xc39c..a14d	TOO EARLY	864	0.0%	ungraded
140	0x2c49..6ada	TOO EARLY	849	0.0%	ungraded
141	0x6fc5..daf1	TOO EARLY	829	0.0%	ungraded
142	0x1fd9..0ec8	TOO EARLY	791	0.0%	ungraded
143	0xe6b5..f1fd	TOO EARLY	776	0.0%	ungraded
144	0x2a1b..a08f	TOO EARLY	731	0.0%	ungraded
145	0x9790..0f06	NO	729	0.0%	ungraded
146	0x86cc..273d	TOO EARLY	721	0.0%	ungraded
147	0xaf1f..55e7	TOO EARLY	691	0.0%	ungraded
148	0x7bae..cbdc	TOO EARLY	683	0.0%	ungraded
149	0x7595..8027	TOO EARLY	683	0.0%	ungraded
150	0x12be..a93c	TOO EARLY	681	0.0%	ungraded
151	0x967b..1277	TOO EARLY	678	0.0%	ungraded
152	0x3b9f..c44f	TOO EARLY	676	0.0%	ungraded
153	0x28ec..1675	TOO EARLY	674	0.0%	ungraded
154	0x95af..26fc	TOO EARLY	666	0.0%	ungraded
155	0x5a7c..ee4c	TOO EARLY	664	0.0%	ungraded
156	0x0ab3..ea53	TOO EARLY	652	0.0%	ungraded
157	0x5071..ad7b	TOO EARLY	650	0.0%	ungraded
158	0x0b5d..4832	TOO EARLY	622	0.0%	ungraded
159	0x9fdb..0aea	TOO EARLY	611	0.0%	ungraded
160	0xc0af..560d	TOO EARLY	610	0.0%	ungraded
161	0xbd73..e578	TOO EARLY	608	0.0%	ungraded
162	0x3e1b..523e	TOO EARLY	606	0.0%	ungraded
163	0x37c5..6545	TOO EARLY	603	0.0%	ungraded
164	0xf3e5..ab0a	TOO EARLY	602	0.0%	ungraded
165	0x2b37..83dc	TOO EARLY	602	0.0%	ungraded
166	0xc0c1..c9d4	TOO EARLY	601	0.0%	ungraded
167	0x5ebc..d55d	TOO EARLY	598	0.0%	ungraded
168	0x0773..d139	TOO EARLY	595	0.0%	ungraded
169	0x3abe..817d	TOO EARLY	595	0.0%	ungraded
170	0xe5e7..2f19	TOO EARLY	590	0.0%	ungraded
171	0xc573..09c1	TOO EARLY	588	0.0%	ungraded
172	0x16d1..597a	TOO EARLY	583	0.0%	ungraded
173	0x0293..f77e	TOO EARLY	578	0.0%	ungraded
174	0x104d..e4e9	TOO EARLY	574	0.0%	ungraded
175	0xa02b..d6eb	TOO EARLY	574	0.0%	ungraded
176	0x785c..2de9	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
177	0x24eb..a05a	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
178	0xb67a..6122	TOO EARLY	571	0.0%	ungraded
179	0xd8e4..9d15	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
180	0x87a7..c1b6	TOO EARLY	570	0.0%	ungraded
181	0x7643..594b	TOO EARLY	567	0.0%	ungraded
182	0xeb20..5dd3	TOO EARLY	567	0.0%	ungraded
183	0xacb4..dd18	TOO EARLY	563	0.0%	ungraded
184	0xa8b8..b984	TOO EARLY	563	0.0%	ungraded
185	0x36ce..5bc0	TOO EARLY	560	0.0%	ungraded
186	0x0f44..60dc	TOO EARLY	558	0.0%	ungraded
187	0x7975..2c86	TOO EARLY	558	0.0%	ungraded
188	0x0182..399e	TOO EARLY	557	0.0%	ungraded
189	0xd521..7329	TOO EARLY	556	0.0%	ungraded
190	0xc3ac..9d6b	TOO EARLY	555	0.0%	ungraded
191	0x4821..bdcf	TOO EARLY	551	0.0%	ungraded
192	0xfb04..110c	TOO EARLY	550	0.0%	ungraded
193	0x8e56..9e77	TOO EARLY	549	0.0%	ungraded
194	0xaef6..7b7c	TOO EARLY	548	0.0%	ungraded
195	0x1d46..9dee	TOO EARLY	548	0.0%	ungraded
196	0xcb4b..0caa	TOO EARLY	547	0.0%	ungraded
197	0x1b96..c1e1	TOO EARLY	546	0.0%	ungraded
198	0x349e..5168	TOO EARLY	546	0.0%	ungraded
199	0x5784..a1ee	TOO EARLY	545	0.0%	ungraded
200	0x8782..32db	TOO EARLY	544	0.0%	ungraded
201	0x7c45..6af8	TOO EARLY	543	0.0%	ungraded
202	0x340b..3740	TOO EARLY	542	0.0%	ungraded
203	0xda6d..c4b3	TOO EARLY	539	0.0%	ungraded
204	0x0fb0..5be0	TOO EARLY	538	0.0%	ungraded
205	0x9f9a..03be	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
206	0x73cd..af4d	TOO EARLY	537	0.0%	ungraded
207	0xd0d1..494d	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
208	0x634a..0ebc	TOO EARLY	532	0.0%	ungraded
209	0x114d..3303	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
210	0x2071..390a	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
211	0x5022..df9e	TOO EARLY	531	0.0%	ungraded
212	0x3745..650e	TOO EARLY	530	0.0%	ungraded
213	0x57cb..0f3e	TOO EARLY	529	0.0%	ungraded
214	0x4be8..0604	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
215	0x34d4..6ab2	TOO EARLY	528	0.0%	ungraded
216	0x8bc1..4230	TOO EARLY	527	0.0%	ungraded
217	0x6c87..ca76	TOO EARLY	526	0.0%	ungraded
218	0x0215..3d40	TOO EARLY	524	0.0%	ungraded
219	0xd2ad..7dff	TOO EARLY	522	0.0%	ungraded
220	0x8b99..ee24	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
221	0xe321..d544	TOO EARLY	521	0.0%	ungraded
222	0xf025..c7b1	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
223	0xb568..f97e	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
224	0x2947..32a5	TOO EARLY	520	0.0%	ungraded
225	0x858f..c13c	TOO EARLY	518	0.0%	ungraded
226	0xcfb3..400e	TOO EARLY	517	0.0%	ungraded
227	0xc46b..33f8	TOO EARLY	515	0.0%	ungraded
228	0x3dd7..1345	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
229	0x81bf..d4dd	TOO EARLY	514	0.0%	ungraded
230	0x332c..1a11	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
231	0x0dfe..4c77	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
232	0x4902..d39f	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
233	0x82af..c5fe	TOO EARLY	513	0.0%	ungraded
234	0x8cf9..43b3	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
235	0xf2f6..0dee	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
236	0x2e09..ebc2	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
237	0xccd9..cef6	TOO EARLY	512	0.0%	ungraded
238	0x226d..b034	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
239	0x799c..04f6	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
240	0x13d8..7165	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
241	0x5bbf..5ef6	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
242	0x9657..daae	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
243	0x87ef..045b	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
244	0x3cbc..e9a2	TOO EARLY	511	0.0%	ungraded
245	0x351c..084b	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
246	0x41b8..9f74	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
247	0x1a2a..62f8	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
248	0x0bb8..3c7c	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
249	0xa1df..f4a8	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
250	0x43fc..0690	TOO EARLY	510	0.0%	ungraded
251	0x5313..6fd9	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
252	0xfbcb..e856	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
253	0xe27e..4878	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
254	0x075f..cf08	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
255	0x5229..652b	TOO EARLY	509	0.0%	ungraded
256	0xa679..0c21	TOO EARLY	508	0.0%	ungraded
257	0x52b8..31f9	TOO EARLY	508	0.0%	ungraded
258	0x70d2..6a9a	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
259	0xfe1b..4974	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
260	0x1290..3f5e	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
261	0x79fb..6654	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
262	0xcd6d..e2e0	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
263	0xa1ef..e714	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
264	0x007d..307b	TOO EARLY	507	0.0%	ungraded
265	0x81b7..9330	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
266	0x242d..33ca	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
267	0xf08c..35f9	TOO EARLY	506	0.0%	ungraded
268	0xdec6..3d01	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
269	0xd88a..39a8	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
270	0x3cb0..77d4	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
271	0x0045..501d	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
272	0x7112..004e	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
273	0xb3f0..a22b	TOO EARLY	505	0.0%	ungraded
274	0x5daa..cbec	TOO EARLY	504	0.0%	ungraded
275	0x935e..f97f	TOO EARLY	504	0.0%	ungraded
276	0x3b72..ad14	TOO EARLY	503	0.0%	ungraded
277	0xb870..13b1	TOO EARLY	502	0.0%	ungraded
278	0x9247..6a81	TOO EARLY	500	0.0%	ungraded
279	0xd7c7..ff8f	TOO EARLY	425	0.0%	ungraded
280	0xf548..da63	TOO EARLY	109	0.0%	ungraded
281	0x11ac..cb98	NO	94	0.0%	ungraded
282	0x3815..78d9	TOO EARLY	54	0.0%	ungraded
283	0x3f3e..0919	TOO EARLY	50	0.0%	ungraded
284	0x1ce5..e6bb	TOO EARLY	30	0.0%	ungraded
285	0x2753..b0d3	TOO EARLY	28	0.0%	ungraded
286	0x1927..5cc4	TOO EARLY	26	0.0%	ungraded
287	0x4db7..3826	TOO EARLY	25	0.0%	ungraded
288	0x94b5..5a1a	TOO EARLY	24	0.0%	ungraded
289	0x6b20..991f	TOO EARLY	24	0.0%	ungraded
290	0x4125..6242	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	ungraded
291	0x78ac..0494	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	ungraded
292	0x68bc..6ba8	TOO EARLY	21	0.0%	ungraded
293	0x76c5..5f12	TOO EARLY	20	0.0%	ungraded
294	0x0c80..795b	TOO EARLY	20	0.0%	ungraded
295	0x1fed..54d0	TOO EARLY	17	0.0%	ungraded
296	0x9c0b..f4e6	TOO EARLY	16	0.0%	ungraded
297	0x1137..3e49	TOO EARLY	14	0.0%	ungraded
298	0x1c97..2108	YES	14	0.0%	ungraded
299	0xb76e..4ab9	YES	11	0.0%	ungraded
300	0x7c61..0cf5	TOO EARLY	1	0.0%	ungraded