Will Elon tweet 210–224 times?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved NO 2025-08-26

voters

262

voted against

against share

20.2%

top wallet held

10.3%

total weight

23.6M

chain record #192

8c387ce70dbc48ee240abddc944f4039ea85caa792dda31368280bb8c12e4c3d

previous record

a812f7b2c8250a84293a97042b3dd3f6dfef191e7fdd01260c2ec25bf7729ec0

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1755858386:4da27517ce77306d

the judges

209 with · 53 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	NO	2.4M	10.3%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	NO	2.1M	8.8%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	NO	2.1M	8.7%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	NO	1.4M	6.0%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	NO	1.4M	5.9%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	NO	958k	4.1%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	NO	945k	4.0%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	NO	898k	3.8%	✓ with
9	0x996d..aff1	NO	895k	3.8%	✓ with
10	0x0afc..0b38	NO	669k	2.8%	✓ with
11	0x487a..2538	NO	622k	2.6%	✓ with
12	0x6564..340c	NO	427k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0xdb28..b80a	TOO EARLY	384k	1.6%	✗ early
14	0x8548..e67e	NO	382k	1.6%	✓ with
15	0xbd4b..287d	NO	379k	1.6%	✓ with
16	0xbd9e..baa7	NO	368k	1.6%	✓ with
17	0x326c..4205	NO	362k	1.5%	✓ with
18	0x66ca..225a	NO	333k	1.4%	✓ with
19	0x9b8f..ed2f	NO	293k	1.2%	✓ with
20	0x4863..e44f	NO	267k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0x20ec..56c0	NO	262k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0xb731..5790	NO	245k	1.0%	✓ with
23	0x840b..946f	NO	244k	1.0%	✓ with
24	0xf659..d48b	NO	241k	1.0%	✓ with
25	0xfe93..9c9d	NO	240k	1.0%	✓ with
26	0x2bc1..a7e7	NO	224k	1.0%	✓ with
27	0x6c31..7d98	NO	221k	0.9%	✓ with
28	0xf002..bfb2	NO	202k	0.9%	✓ with
29	0x6573..8efe	NO	196k	0.8%	✓ with
30	0x9928..8cee	NO	181k	0.8%	✓ with
31	0x9e30..0d35	NO	180k	0.8%	✓ with
32	0x3504..ec2b	NO	175k	0.7%	✓ with
33	0x2d51..6f52	NO	171k	0.7%	✓ with
34	0x89be..103a	NO	150k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x92d7..6fc6	NO	149k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0x1a0d..f351	NO	141k	0.6%	✓ with
37	0xc12f..39ee	NO	128k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0x30b2..be50	NO	126k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0xdf67..2de3	NO	126k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x003a..0577	NO	122k	0.5%	✓ with
41	0x216a..92ba	TOO EARLY	117k	0.5%	✗ early
42	0xf018..4069	NO	114k	0.5%	✓ with
43	0x5b7e..78a8	NO	106k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0xb738..9472	NO	100k	0.4%	✓ with
45	0x8b64..96ee	NO	99k	0.4%	✓ with
46	0x8d61..27bc	NO	90k	0.4%	✓ with
47	0x6391..194a	NO	88k	0.4%	✓ with
48	0x53d0..d897	NO	85k	0.4%	✓ with
49	0x65af..2482	NO	84k	0.4%	✓ with
50	0x7baa..946a	NO	78k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x5c2e..d55e	NO	72k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0xd278..5a26	NO	71k	0.3%	✓ with
53	0xa0ff..3d3d	NO	70k	0.3%	✓ with
54	0x89f9..2a45	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
55	0x69d0..a819	NO	69k	0.3%	✓ with
56	0xc9e8..8df5	NO	67k	0.3%	✓ with
57	0xd4c1..6e2e	NO	61k	0.3%	✓ with
58	0xa9b0..c344	NO	58k	0.2%	✓ with
59	0x1515..490a	NO	58k	0.2%	✓ with
60	0x18f7..9222	NO	56k	0.2%	✓ with
61	0x4431..9080	NO	52k	0.2%	✓ with
62	0xa4ef..a5ea	NO	37k	0.2%	✓ with
63	0xa61b..88a5	NO	34k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0xa7b9..87d0	NO	32k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x126d..c78e	NO	30k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x1921..efa9	NO	29k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x060b..81fa	NO	27k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0xa2e5..27f4	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x7b51..f56b	NO	26k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x47a4..368b	NO	25k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x69d0..586c	NO	24k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0x4c0d..ff1d	NO	19k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x3939..e4ce	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
74	0x336b..d88f	NO	15k	0.1%	✓ with
75	0x2a6d..7e59	NO	14k	0.1%	✓ with
76	0x4f49..8da9	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
77	0x1ab8..64f4	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
78	0xe748..9a11	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
79	0x9b6f..4ced	NO	12k	0.1%	✓ with
80	0x9497..f769	NO	11k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0x4ddd..0cb2	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xe637..9483	NO	10k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x465c..d022	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0x110f..f6fd	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x23bb..183b	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xdb4d..bb4d	NO	9k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0xd7e6..8b53	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x8ce7..0337	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x1a46..cbc4	NO	7k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0x09ea..73fd	NO	6k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0xa31c..6020	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x5d54..cc4b	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0x9baf..0a44	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0xb483..28ab	NO	5k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0x7e36..0c22	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0xc4eb..9946	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x6e86..2587	NO	4k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0x55e0..c952	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x1cc9..397e	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0xdf50..ffda	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x2a82..c9d8	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x519e..fb3b	NO	3k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0xa2cf..d7aa	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x9860..1316	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0x558c..4808	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0xea8d..558a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0x6280..57bb	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0xde0a..75f5	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0x18fe..3f3b	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0x1c80..d09a	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x449f..d1c7	NO	2k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0x08bb..2be1	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x99bc..2fd9	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
114	0x48c7..0f91	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
115	0xf8e9..6fe8	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
116	0xa851..7438	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
117	0xbb1f..fba5	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
118	0xe3b0..1d12	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
119	0x27b0..14d2	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
120	0x49b3..bd78	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x1306..bc55	NO	1k	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x9a47..4246	NO	994	0.0%	✓ with
123	0x2c49..6ada	NO	890	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x9c1f..0c09	NO	858	0.0%	✓ with
125	0xc39c..a14d	NO	847	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x6fc5..daf1	NO	812	0.0%	✓ with
127	0xe6b5..f1fd	NO	773	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x2a1b..a08f	NO	737	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x2723..bc10	NO	717	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x86cc..273d	NO	717	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x28ec..1675	NO	683	0.0%	✓ with
132	0x95af..26fc	NO	675	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x7595..8027	NO	671	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x3b9f..c44f	NO	662	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x5a7c..ee4c	NO	658	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x0ab3..ea53	NO	647	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x5071..ad7b	NO	640	0.0%	✓ with
138	0xbd73..e578	NO	637	0.0%	✓ with
139	0x0b5d..4832	NO	619	0.0%	✓ with
140	0x3e1b..523e	NO	602	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x0773..d139	NO	601	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x9fdb..0aea	NO	601	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x5e19..0c0c	NO	601	0.0%	✓ with
144	0x37c5..6545	NO	599	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x3abe..817d	NO	593	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x2b37..83dc	NO	591	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x5ebc..d55d	NO	587	0.0%	✓ with
148	0xc573..09c1	NO	586	0.0%	✓ with
149	0xe5e7..2f19	NO	585	0.0%	✓ with
150	0x0293..f77e	NO	574	0.0%	✓ with
151	0xa02b..d6eb	NO	570	0.0%	✓ with
152	0xd8e4..9d15	NO	567	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x87a7..c1b6	NO	565	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x785c..2de9	NO	565	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x7643..594b	NO	563	0.0%	✓ with
156	0xacb4..dd18	NO	559	0.0%	✓ with
157	0xa8b8..b984	NO	558	0.0%	✓ with
158	0xb67a..6122	NO	558	0.0%	✓ with
159	0x36ce..5bc0	NO	555	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x0f44..60dc	NO	554	0.0%	✓ with
161	0x7c45..6af8	NO	554	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x7975..2c86	NO	553	0.0%	✓ with
163	0xc3ac..9d6b	NO	551	0.0%	✓ with
164	0xb538..8b0f	NO	551	0.0%	✓ with
165	0xd521..7329	NO	550	0.0%	✓ with
166	0x8e56..9e77	NO	549	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x4821..bdcf	NO	547	0.0%	✓ with
168	0xb568..f97e	NO	545	0.0%	✓ with
169	0xaef6..7b7c	NO	544	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x349e..5168	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
171	0x1d46..9dee	NO	543	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xcb4b..0caa	NO	542	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x0182..399e	NO	542	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x5784..a1ee	NO	541	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x8782..32db	NO	540	0.0%	✓ with
176	0x5d21..36a5	YES	538	0.0%	✗ against
177	0x24eb..a05a	NO	535	0.0%	✓ with
178	0xda6d..c4b3	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
179	0x0fb0..5be0	NO	534	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x9f9a..03be	NO	533	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x73cd..af4d	NO	532	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x90da..1a73	NO	532	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x4be8..0604	NO	531	0.0%	✓ with
184	0xf08c..35f9	NO	530	0.0%	✓ with
185	0x8e5f..1e4a	YES	530	0.0%	✗ against
186	0xf0dc..fe78	NO	529	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x590a..43f6	YES	528	0.0%	✗ against
188	0x0bb9..b81d	NO	528	0.0%	✓ with
189	0x4876..0a9b	YES	528	0.0%	✗ against
190	0xc4e7..b4d9	YES	527	0.0%	✗ against
191	0x3745..650e	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
192	0x5022..df9e	NO	527	0.0%	✓ with
193	0xd273..e3c6	YES	526	0.0%	✗ against
194	0x430c..2e5f	NO	526	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x4151..097c	YES	526	0.0%	✗ against
196	0xc590..d510	YES	526	0.0%	✗ against
197	0x57cb..0f3e	NO	525	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x3b84..a587	YES	524	0.0%	✗ against
199	0x4913..d50a	YES	524	0.0%	✗ against
200	0x9cf0..f4c8	YES	524	0.0%	✗ against
201	0x63d4..959e	YES	524	0.0%	✗ against
202	0x2f55..5866	YES	524	0.0%	✗ against
203	0x8bc1..4230	NO	524	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x7ca4..619c	YES	523	0.0%	✗ against
205	0x1edb..ca66	YES	523	0.0%	✗ against
206	0x5bc3..3942	YES	523	0.0%	✗ against
207	0xfa8c..97f6	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
208	0xec2b..4e9c	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
209	0xc0dc..9fb4	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
210	0xca64..c51b	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x3895..9f79	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
212	0x34d4..6ab2	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x0215..3d40	NO	522	0.0%	✓ with
214	0xb4c9..9d09	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
215	0x3b59..4444	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
216	0x09a1..2913	YES	522	0.0%	✗ against
217	0xd1cd..6df1	YES	521	0.0%	✗ against
218	0x4010..2528	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
219	0x5060..8cb7	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
220	0xf3c1..cf9c	YES	520	0.0%	✗ against
221	0xcfb3..400e	NO	520	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xa463..d01c	YES	519	0.0%	✗ against
223	0x1f12..f16e	YES	519	0.0%	✗ against
224	0x40bf..389b	YES	519	0.0%	✗ against
225	0x28cc..7c61	YES	519	0.0%	✗ against
226	0xc428..867c	YES	519	0.0%	✗ against
227	0x4241..f563	YES	519	0.0%	✗ against
228	0xe321..d544	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
229	0xbb68..3e3c	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
230	0xde72..82d9	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
231	0x630a..42f5	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
232	0x3367..02c4	YES	518	0.0%	✗ against
233	0x8b99..ee24	NO	518	0.0%	✓ with
234	0x92bd..20ea	YES	517	0.0%	✗ against
235	0xf025..c7b1	NO	517	0.0%	✓ with
236	0x54d6..ae04	YES	517	0.0%	✗ against
237	0x2947..32a5	NO	516	0.0%	✓ with
238	0xab0e..a340	YES	516	0.0%	✗ against
239	0xd8c3..30f6	YES	516	0.0%	✗ against
240	0x3bd0..2f8e	YES	516	0.0%	✗ against
241	0x216b..d812	YES	515	0.0%	✗ against
242	0xe7ff..6f47	YES	515	0.0%	✗ against
243	0x6748..2d1b	YES	515	0.0%	✗ against
244	0x4289..9bdc	YES	515	0.0%	✗ against
245	0xfb04..110c	NO	514	0.0%	✓ with
246	0x26fd..ebf5	YES	514	0.0%	✗ against
247	0x58cf..5ba9	YES	514	0.0%	✗ against
248	0x3b45..3008	NO	513	0.0%	✓ with
249	0x2f96..e491	YES	513	0.0%	✗ against
250	0x6137..5467	YES	513	0.0%	✗ against
251	0xdb6d..a527	YES	511	0.0%	✗ against
252	0x3dd7..1345	NO	510	0.0%	✓ with
253	0x4af8..cb7c	YES	510	0.0%	✗ against
254	0x52b8..31f9	NO	508	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x858f..c13c	NO	508	0.0%	✓ with
256	0xcd6d..e2e0	NO	503	0.0%	✓ with
257	0xd7c7..ff8f	NO	445	0.0%	✓ with
258	0xf548..da63	NO	107	0.0%	✓ with
259	0x5ef3..aa39	NO	94	0.0%	✓ with
260	0x2071..390a	NO	77	0.0%	✓ with
261	0x03f7..7117	NO	31	0.0%	✓ with
262	0xd120..5afc	NO	9	0.0%	✓ with