Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?

disputed market · polymarket · uma dvm resolved YES 2025-08-04

voters

255

voted against

against share

0.0%

top wallet held

11.3%

total weight

21.1M

chain record #142

860c969c282e6006393ab37db8b367e0cbe4fe84b1da07eeabc67ce0c06124ac

previous record

00efd26b1a58b8485d4a11af039046448caa2c66aa8b9a1a1cca33711cdab6e4

recorded

2026-07-02T06:42:27z · request 0x5945535f4f525f4e4f5f51554552590000000000000000000000000000000000:1753976182:0dd41123e868cf39

the judges

255 with · 0 against · correctness vs uma's own resolved price, not ground truth

#	wallet	vote	weight	share	vs outcome
1	0xb524..3715	YES	2.4M	11.3%	✓ with
2	0x8e34..c97a	YES	2.0M	9.7%	✓ with
3	0xc60a..fea0	YES	2.0M	9.6%	✓ with
4	0xfc20..1e1c	YES	1.5M	7.1%	✓ with
5	0xd2a7..9f7f	YES	1.4M	6.6%	✓ with
6	0x95cd..29b8	YES	960k	4.5%	✓ with
7	0xfec2..04a5	YES	939k	4.4%	✓ with
8	0x05d1..f8c4	YES	906k	4.3%	✓ with
9	0x0afc..0b38	YES	659k	3.1%	✓ with
10	0x487a..2538	YES	617k	2.9%	✓ with
11	0x6564..340c	YES	423k	2.0%	✓ with
12	0x8548..e67e	YES	375k	1.8%	✓ with
13	0xbd4b..287d	YES	373k	1.8%	✓ with
14	0xbd9e..baa7	YES	366k	1.7%	✓ with
15	0x326c..4205	YES	358k	1.7%	✓ with
16	0x66ca..225a	YES	327k	1.5%	✓ with
17	0x9b8f..ed2f	YES	292k	1.4%	✓ with
18	0x4863..e44f	YES	268k	1.3%	✓ with
19	0x840b..946f	YES	241k	1.1%	✓ with
20	0xf659..d48b	YES	239k	1.1%	✓ with
21	0xfe93..9c9d	YES	238k	1.1%	✓ with
22	0xdc86..821a	YES	230k	1.1%	✓ with
23	0x2bc1..a7e7	YES	225k	1.1%	✓ with
24	0xf002..bfb2	YES	199k	0.9%	✓ with
25	0x6573..8efe	YES	197k	0.9%	✓ with
26	0x3504..ec2b	YES	174k	0.8%	✓ with
27	0x2d51..6f52	YES	169k	0.8%	✓ with
28	0x89be..103a	YES	147k	0.7%	✓ with
29	0x92d7..6fc6	YES	146k	0.7%	✓ with
30	0x1a0d..f351	YES	136k	0.6%	✓ with
31	0xc12f..39ee	YES	127k	0.6%	✓ with
32	0x9928..8cee	YES	126k	0.6%	✓ with
33	0xdf67..2de3	YES	124k	0.6%	✓ with
34	0x216a..92ba	YES	123k	0.6%	✓ with
35	0x003a..0577	YES	120k	0.6%	✓ with
36	0xf018..4069	YES	112k	0.5%	✓ with
37	0x5b7e..78a8	YES	104k	0.5%	✓ with
38	0xb738..9472	YES	101k	0.5%	✓ with
39	0x8b64..96ee	YES	98k	0.5%	✓ with
40	0x8d61..27bc	YES	90k	0.4%	✓ with
41	0x53d0..d897	YES	83k	0.4%	✓ with
42	0x65af..2482	YES	83k	0.4%	✓ with
43	0x7baa..946a	YES	77k	0.4%	✓ with
44	0x5c2e..d55e	YES	70k	0.3%	✓ with
45	0xd278..5a26	YES	70k	0.3%	✓ with
46	0x69d0..a819	YES	67k	0.3%	✓ with
47	0xc9e8..8df5	YES	66k	0.3%	✓ with
48	0xd4c1..6e2e	YES	61k	0.3%	✓ with
49	0xa9b0..c344	YES	58k	0.3%	✓ with
50	0x1515..490a	YES	57k	0.3%	✓ with
51	0x18f7..9222	YES	56k	0.3%	✓ with
52	0x3d59..baa2	YES	40k	0.2%	✓ with
53	0x403d..4490	YES	39k	0.2%	✓ with
54	0xa4ef..a5ea	YES	36k	0.2%	✓ with
55	0xa61b..88a5	YES	33k	0.2%	✓ with
56	0xa7b9..87d0	YES	33k	0.2%	✓ with
57	0x126d..c78e	YES	30k	0.1%	✓ with
58	0x1921..efa9	YES	28k	0.1%	✓ with
59	0xa2e5..27f4	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
60	0x7b51..f56b	YES	26k	0.1%	✓ with
61	0x47a4..368b	YES	25k	0.1%	✓ with
62	0x69d0..586c	YES	23k	0.1%	✓ with
63	0x4c0d..ff1d	YES	18k	0.1%	✓ with
64	0x3939..e4ce	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
65	0x336b..d88f	YES	15k	0.1%	✓ with
66	0x2a6d..7e59	YES	13k	0.1%	✓ with
67	0x1ab8..64f4	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
68	0x4f49..8da9	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
69	0x9b6f..4ced	YES	12k	0.1%	✓ with
70	0x9497..f769	YES	11k	0.1%	✓ with
71	0x122b..8aee	YES	11k	0.1%	✓ with
72	0xe748..9a11	YES	11k	0.1%	✓ with
73	0x4ddd..0cb2	YES	10k	0.0%	✓ with
74	0xe637..9483	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
75	0x465c..d022	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
76	0x110f..f6fd	YES	9k	0.0%	✓ with
77	0xdb4d..bb4d	YES	8k	0.0%	✓ with
78	0x1a46..cbc4	YES	7k	0.0%	✓ with
79	0xcb8c..9937	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
80	0x09ea..73fd	YES	6k	0.0%	✓ with
81	0x5d54..cc4b	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
82	0xa31c..6020	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
83	0x9baf..0a44	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
84	0xb483..28ab	YES	5k	0.0%	✓ with
85	0x7e36..0c22	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
86	0xc4eb..9946	YES	4k	0.0%	✓ with
87	0x6e86..2587	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
88	0x1cc9..397e	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
89	0x55e0..c952	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
90	0xdf50..ffda	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
91	0x2a82..c9d8	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
92	0x519e..fb3b	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
93	0xd7e6..8b53	YES	3k	0.0%	✓ with
94	0x9860..1316	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
95	0xea8d..558a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
96	0xa2cf..d7aa	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
97	0x6280..57bb	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
98	0xde0a..75f5	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
99	0x18fe..3f3b	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
100	0x1c80..d09a	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
101	0x449f..d1c7	YES	2k	0.0%	✓ with
102	0x08bb..2be1	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
103	0x99bc..2fd9	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
104	0x48c7..0f91	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
105	0xf8e9..6fe8	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
106	0xa851..7438	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
107	0xbb1f..fba5	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
108	0x93a6..ced4	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
109	0xe3b0..1d12	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
110	0x27b0..14d2	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
111	0x49b3..bd78	YES	1k	0.0%	✓ with
112	0x5f4f..39d1	YES	996	0.0%	✓ with
113	0x1306..bc55	YES	977	0.0%	✓ with
114	0xd0d1..494d	YES	910	0.0%	✓ with
115	0x9c1f..0c09	YES	852	0.0%	✓ with
116	0xc39c..a14d	YES	842	0.0%	✓ with
117	0x2c49..6ada	YES	814	0.0%	✓ with
118	0x6fc5..daf1	YES	797	0.0%	✓ with
119	0xe6b5..f1fd	YES	768	0.0%	✓ with
120	0x86cc..273d	YES	714	0.0%	✓ with
121	0x28ec..1675	YES	688	0.0%	✓ with
122	0x95af..26fc	YES	680	0.0%	✓ with
123	0x7595..8027	YES	655	0.0%	✓ with
124	0x5a7c..ee4c	YES	648	0.0%	✓ with
125	0x3b9f..c44f	YES	646	0.0%	✓ with
126	0x5071..ad7b	YES	624	0.0%	✓ with
127	0x0b5d..4832	YES	615	0.0%	✓ with
128	0x0773..d139	YES	598	0.0%	✓ with
129	0x37c5..6545	YES	596	0.0%	✓ with
130	0x9fdb..0aea	YES	594	0.0%	✓ with
131	0x3e1b..523e	YES	591	0.0%	✓ with
132	0xbd73..e578	YES	589	0.0%	✓ with
133	0x5ebc..d55d	YES	585	0.0%	✓ with
134	0x56d7..7226	YES	580	0.0%	✓ with
135	0x3abe..817d	YES	578	0.0%	✓ with
136	0x2b37..83dc	YES	577	0.0%	✓ with
137	0x101a..b9e5	YES	576	0.0%	✓ with
138	0x16d1..597a	YES	573	0.0%	✓ with
139	0xc573..09c1	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
140	0xe5e7..2f19	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
141	0x0293..f77e	YES	571	0.0%	✓ with
142	0x68c1..859a	YES	570	0.0%	✓ with
143	0x5689..82b0	YES	566	0.0%	✓ with
144	0xd8e4..9d15	YES	564	0.0%	✓ with
145	0x87a7..c1b6	YES	562	0.0%	✓ with
146	0x785c..2de9	YES	558	0.0%	✓ with
147	0x1049..c8e5	YES	555	0.0%	✓ with
148	0xb67a..6122	YES	554	0.0%	✓ with
149	0x7c45..6af8	YES	552	0.0%	✓ with
150	0xa8b8..b984	YES	549	0.0%	✓ with
151	0x6c87..ca76	YES	547	0.0%	✓ with
152	0xacb4..dd18	YES	546	0.0%	✓ with
153	0x4821..bdcf	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
154	0x5d21..36a5	YES	543	0.0%	✓ with
155	0x36ce..5bc0	YES	541	0.0%	✓ with
156	0x349e..5168	YES	540	0.0%	✓ with
157	0xcb4b..0caa	YES	540	0.0%	✓ with
158	0x5784..a1ee	YES	538	0.0%	✓ with
159	0xc3ac..9d6b	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
160	0x8782..32db	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
161	0xd521..7329	YES	537	0.0%	✓ with
162	0x8e56..9e77	YES	536	0.0%	✓ with
163	0xb538..8b0f	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
164	0x24eb..a05a	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
165	0x8e5f..1e4a	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
166	0xf3c1..2329	YES	534	0.0%	✓ with
167	0x590a..43f6	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
168	0x0bb9..b81d	YES	533	0.0%	✓ with
169	0x0182..399e	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
170	0x4876..0a9b	YES	532	0.0%	✓ with
171	0xc4e7..b4d9	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
172	0xd273..e3c6	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
173	0x9f9a..03be	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
174	0x430c..2e5f	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
175	0x4151..097c	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
176	0xc590..d510	YES	531	0.0%	✓ with
177	0xbd9d..98eb	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
178	0x90da..1a73	YES	530	0.0%	✓ with
179	0xaef6..7b7c	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
180	0x3b84..a587	YES	529	0.0%	✓ with
181	0x4913..d50a	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
182	0x9cf0..f4c8	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
183	0x63d4..959e	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
184	0x2f55..5866	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
185	0xf0dc..fe78	YES	528	0.0%	✓ with
186	0x7ca4..619c	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
187	0x1edb..ca66	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
188	0x5bc3..3942	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
189	0xfa8c..97f6	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
190	0xec2b..4e9c	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
191	0xc0dc..9fb4	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
192	0xca64..c51b	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
193	0x3895..9f79	YES	527	0.0%	✓ with
194	0xb4c9..9d09	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
195	0x3b59..4444	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
196	0x09a1..2913	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
197	0xd1cd..6df1	YES	526	0.0%	✓ with
198	0x72b5..3236	YES	525	0.0%	✓ with
199	0xc6c3..d292	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
200	0x4010..2528	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
201	0x5060..8cb7	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
202	0xf3c1..cf9c	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
203	0xa463..d01c	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
204	0x1f12..f16e	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
205	0x40bf..389b	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
206	0x3745..650e	YES	524	0.0%	✓ with
207	0x28cc..7c61	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
208	0xc428..867c	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
209	0x4241..f563	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
210	0xbb68..3e3c	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
211	0x3367..02c4	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
212	0xde72..82d9	YES	523	0.0%	✓ with
213	0x630a..42f5	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
214	0xfb1f..a12c	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
215	0x57cb..0f3e	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
216	0xcfb3..400e	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
217	0x92bd..20ea	YES	522	0.0%	✓ with
218	0x54d6..ae04	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
219	0x7a40..be8a	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
220	0xab0e..a340	YES	521	0.0%	✓ with
221	0x8bc1..4230	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
222	0xd8c3..30f6	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
223	0x73cd..af4d	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
224	0x3bd0..2f8e	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
225	0x216b..d812	YES	520	0.0%	✓ with
226	0xe7ff..6f47	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
227	0x6748..2d1b	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
228	0x4289..9bdc	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
229	0x26fd..ebf5	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
230	0x58cf..5ba9	YES	519	0.0%	✓ with
231	0x80cc..ca98	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
232	0x2f96..e491	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
233	0x6137..5467	YES	517	0.0%	✓ with
234	0xdb6d..a527	YES	516	0.0%	✓ with
235	0xe321..d544	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
236	0x4af8..cb7c	YES	515	0.0%	✓ with
237	0x9e43..b563	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
238	0xf025..c7b1	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
239	0xf3b6..99bf	YES	514	0.0%	✓ with
240	0x34d4..6ab2	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
241	0x52b8..31f9	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
242	0x2947..32a5	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
243	0x0939..befb	YES	513	0.0%	✓ with
244	0xfb04..110c	YES	511	0.0%	✓ with
245	0x0f44..60dc	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
246	0x4be8..0604	YES	510	0.0%	✓ with
247	0x3dd7..1345	YES	507	0.0%	✓ with
248	0xb568..f97e	YES	502	0.0%	✓ with
249	0x3b45..3008	YES	492	0.0%	✓ with
250	0xf08c..35f9	YES	489	0.0%	✓ with
251	0xd7c7..ff8f	YES	407	0.0%	✓ with
252	0x5b82..14e9	YES	336	0.0%	✓ with
253	0xf548..da63	YES	107	0.0%	✓ with
254	0xc64e..ef3e	YES	99	0.0%	✓ with
255	0x2071..390a	YES	78	0.0%	✓ with